I revere as the blue and white shower wet her pink skin.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Authorization Letter Disconnection
Creature photosensitive
this divertissement is worth it just to see the reaction of my boyfriend in front of. Gif that shows him:
- But it's a hologram! !
... priceless, especially because he is a guy who, theoretically, knows how to use "the computer" a lot better than me! Hihihi! ♥
Anyway, in reality this game is just a bit 'more than a divertissement: all change depending on the light, of course, but in him I see something totally inexplicable ...
- But it's a hologram! !
... priceless, especially because he is a guy who, theoretically, knows how to use "the computer" a lot better than me! Hihihi! ♥
Anyway, in reality this game is just a bit 'more than a divertissement: all change depending on the light, of course, but in him I see something totally inexplicable ...
Friday, January 28, 2011
Plan B Prices Walmart
Orwell (another) discussion on global warming
Lately I have (again) becoming embroiled in a debate Blog Vietti about global warming.
And I heard the usual arguments corny as to why there is no heating globable and if there is not anthropogenic. Answer here, so I'm not going to visit every day for a discussion on air Vietti fried.
An average temperature on earth, however, is something different. We agree that it is reasonable to say: "This morning there were 18 degrees in Rome." Again, technically, This does not make sense because "Rome" is not a system in thermodynamic equilibrium. However, we know what this phrase means: take the various temperature sensors in Rome and is the average (perhaps weighted) at some point of the day. This number we call "average temperature". Now, this is a stochastic process, so this average temperature in Rome will change over time. 18 ° C this morning, tomorrow 20 ° C. As a good stochastic process will have an expected value, no? This expected value, we call the annual average temperature in Rome.
(Now I'm not a meteorologist, so maybe the details are different, I just wanted to point out that there is nothing absurd to speak of a temperature average).
Over the past 30 years the average temperature has risen approximately 0.2 ° C per decade
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming
There are a number of articles of the '70s and '80s in which warming predicted to exactly this size, there Linko 2, signals the next (large) number of citations articles were collected to show how main stream and have not gone to look for things too favorable (I have used, among other things, less than 5 min).
Dickinson, Cicero, Nature (1986) (mentioned 384 times on Scholar)
Hansen et al., J. Geophy. Res (1988) (mentioned 612 times on Scholar)
Another interesting thing: in 2007 Rahmstorf and others had already done such work, or to compare the predictions made from '90 onwards with data actually collected, with the result that the forecasts tended to underestimate the size of global warming. 
Lately I have (again) becoming embroiled in a debate Blog Vietti about global warming.
And I heard the usual arguments corny as to why there is no heating globable and if there is not anthropogenic. Answer here, so I'm not going to visit every day for a discussion on air Vietti fried.
Objection 1: There is no heating. The data show that the heating does not apply because they use a size, the average temperature of the earth, which makes no sense.that of non-existence of the average temperature is one of the favorite arguments of the deniers of global warming. We put the record straight from a thermodynamic point of view: what does not exist is the earth's temperature, because the land is not a system in thermodynamic equilibrium and therefore does not have a temperature per se.
An average temperature on earth, however, is something different. We agree that it is reasonable to say: "This morning there were 18 degrees in Rome." Again, technically, This does not make sense because "Rome" is not a system in thermodynamic equilibrium. However, we know what this phrase means: take the various temperature sensors in Rome and is the average (perhaps weighted) at some point of the day. This number we call "average temperature". Now, this is a stochastic process, so this average temperature in Rome will change over time. 18 ° C this morning, tomorrow 20 ° C. As a good stochastic process will have an expected value, no? This expected value, we call the annual average temperature in Rome.
(Now I'm not a meteorologist, so maybe the details are different, I just wanted to point out that there is nothing absurd to speak of a temperature average).
Objection 2: Climate scientists have so far made only predictions wrong, so wrong in the future.Apart from the obvious absurdity inherent in this topic, it is simply not true that climatologists have made wrong predictions.
Over the past 30 years the average temperature has risen approximately 0.2 ° C per decade
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming
There are a number of articles of the '70s and '80s in which warming predicted to exactly this size, there Linko 2, signals the next (large) number of citations articles were collected to show how main stream and have not gone to look for things too favorable (I have used, among other things, less than 5 min).
Dickinson, Cicero, Nature (1986) (mentioned 384 times on Scholar)
Hansen et al., J. Geophy. Res (1988) (mentioned 612 times on Scholar)
Another interesting thing: in 2007 Rahmstorf and others had already done such work, or to compare the predictions made from '90 onwards with data actually collected, with the result that the forecasts tended to underestimate the size of global warming.
Friday, January 21, 2011
Famous People Who Have Chlamydia
Bruising / / / Alone
often not easy to reconstruct where they came from the bruises that I find myself. * I think now my dermal surface has taken a liking to paint him: it is my accomplice.
(Or maybe just a sea of \u200b\u200bcrap)
The post is mine, but the shot is Marina Bruno - thanks a lot, girl!
* For those of my new parts are years that collect the pictures of my bruises.
(Or maybe just a sea of \u200b\u200bcrap)
The post is mine, but the shot is Marina Bruno - thanks a lot, girl!
* For those of my new parts are years that collect the pictures of my bruises.
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Gay Cruising Placeslong Island, Ny
What chutzpah!
For fun I was reading this editorial in the Journal .
What has the nerve to say first
For fun I was reading this editorial in the Journal .
What has the nerve to say first
shame, though, that the "new" investigation reveals [...] frequent violations of Guarantees parliamentary
and then talking about hundreds of phone calls to the premier Ruby. But there is no trace of this talk in the interception, there is a step in the proceedings.pretending to forget that one of these `` Guarantees''is precisely the fact that the interception of an elected official can not be used! But how can you be so unscrupulous?
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
5 Min Train Molesting Streaming Clips
"I'm your abyss tonight! :) "The Doll
may seem trivial, but I always thought it was hard to share their culture senz'apparire annoying, because there are many who envy and betrayal in the face of acidity who knows. Well, the culture of Julia has become immediately a "full stop" to my classmates (we are forty, so our dynamics are not too dissimilar to those classes in high school ...). In short, we all know that Julia is the one who knows "these things" (also because most of us, however, has studied art). Maybe it's just me, but she continually shares his world never to weigh the different levels. It is light and elegant, in everything. It was light and elegant in the way, with ease, had rested in the chair. Even in the clothes she wears, no definition, clarity, simplicity - dare I say peacefulness. Even when he leaves the pocket of turbulence that deflate the soul (for example in his drawings) there is not never irritating confusion, everything is docile, light. Never grumpy (although Julia knows well be fierce when needed. But when you need it! ... Never in inappropriate moments).
the hell is manifested by his kindness. This formula
human I am curious, almost inexplicable, however, very far from me.
Like all things foreign , attracts me.
I understand "as is".
So every time I follow his crumbs, in fact.
why tonight I decided to finally see her episode of essential Neon Genesis Evangelion : The beast that shouted love in the heart of the world. A beautiful inizione of torment.
As I understood, has had the desired effect on me.
As I feared, I found myself.
Julie had warned me, passing me the link of the episode ...
"is getting caught in a nice tour with this jul. : D
"is exactly what I want.
I feel that even if I will know better you will know me even better. "
" I'm your abyss tonight! :) "
This is one of those nights of total block. Things to do are so many who go to a short circuit that prevents me from giving them an order of urgency. All drowns while they are pathetically defeated by all of my thoughts (including the panic of having a lot of things to do). I
I preclude happiness. I often try to communicate a positive and sometimes I can, I think. But it does not even know me too well to see that this is an ongoing enthusiasm swings and paranoia.
second win tonight, even if you are not satisfied with making too much noise. Trying to regulate them, my head chasing the crumbs of a dear friend, Julia Trincardi . I know that you are familiar with some inner motion, but what has always fascinated me in what she is smartly juggles them. (Well, 'I confess that maybe I miss the most intimate entr'actes which may grant the height of pathos, but my surprise is.)
Giulia surprised me since the first time I noticed. We were in class, in Naba, was asked to do an intervention from his place, but "in front of everyone." Weave in a chair and spoke. I do not remember exactly what it was, but perhaps should wipe the memory on a greek myth. Necessarily had to retract.
I preclude happiness. I often try to communicate a positive and sometimes I can, I think. But it does not even know me too well to see that this is an ongoing enthusiasm swings and paranoia.
second win tonight, even if you are not satisfied with making too much noise. Trying to regulate them, my head chasing the crumbs of a dear friend, Julia Trincardi . I know that you are familiar with some inner motion, but what has always fascinated me in what she is smartly juggles them. (Well, 'I confess that maybe I miss the most intimate entr'actes which may grant the height of pathos, but my surprise is.)
Giulia surprised me since the first time I noticed. We were in class, in Naba, was asked to do an intervention from his place, but "in front of everyone." Weave in a chair and spoke. I do not remember exactly what it was, but perhaps should wipe the memory on a greek myth. Necessarily had to retract.
may seem trivial, but I always thought it was hard to share their culture senz'apparire annoying, because there are many who envy and betrayal in the face of acidity who knows. Well, the culture of Julia has become immediately a "full stop" to my classmates (we are forty, so our dynamics are not too dissimilar to those classes in high school ...). In short, we all know that Julia is the one who knows "these things" (also because most of us, however, has studied art). Maybe it's just me, but she continually shares his world never to weigh the different levels. It is light and elegant, in everything. It was light and elegant in the way, with ease, had rested in the chair. Even in the clothes she wears, no definition, clarity, simplicity - dare I say peacefulness. Even when he leaves the pocket of turbulence that deflate the soul (for example in his drawings) there is not never irritating confusion, everything is docile, light. Never grumpy (although Julia knows well be fierce when needed. But when you need it! ... Never in inappropriate moments). the hell is manifested by his kindness. This formula
human I am curious, almost inexplicable, however, very far from me.
Like all things foreign , attracts me.
I understand "as is".
So every time I follow his crumbs, in fact.
why tonight I decided to finally see her episode of essential Neon Genesis Evangelion : The beast that shouted love in the heart of the world. A beautiful inizione of torment.
As I understood, has had the desired effect on me.
As I feared, I found myself.
Julie had warned me, passing me the link of the episode ...
"is getting caught in a nice tour with this jul. : D
"is exactly what I want.
I feel that even if I will know better you will know me even better. "
" I'm your abyss tonight! :) "
****
... In the meantime we are made of 4 in the morning. It happens too often.
I would be more strict with myself all geniuses were great workers! But this does not tell you. He says the professor of the same lesson that drew Julia, to the earliest days of the first year of Naba ...
Now more then that, this design should be a warning ...
I hope to maintain the power magic that gave him ..
I would be more strict with myself all geniuses were great workers! But this does not tell you. He says the professor of the same lesson that drew Julia, to the earliest days of the first year of Naba ...
Now more then that, this design should be a warning ...
I hope to maintain the power magic that gave him ..
Friday, January 14, 2011
Cheats Voor Dune Bugy
Corpse, the Morlitos and try to walk / / / Reconstruction of an autumn weekend
This, of course, is Linfante.
These, however, are the sketches I did during the performance of Mr. Sapio.
I want to clarify that all 'sti earnest portraits are serious, but that night I remember it as one of those where I laughed more (EMH, not alone ... Not at all ...). Morla + + Federica Linfante are a great psychic explosive cocktail. I had no doubt! : D
I would like also to thank again the Morlitos, who hosted me and Federica. :)
ritono close with the train, as a recluse, his head spinning somewhere.
I love what I do think the trains.
I think I've already written a thousand times on this blog ...
Friday, October 15, 2010, Linfante statistical adjustments had played at Bologna, before Mr. Sapio. By tradition, I made the poster. I posted it all here .
Only now, however, place all the visual material that came out of that weekend. It is little. I was just happy hand, this weekend (thanks also to have a book of Goduria like burgundy velvet hands, delicious cuisine tasty - made in Cremonapalloza , on the other).
images starting from the train journey with Federica Orlati . Who is this friend of my sleeve, I tried to explain below. Add just that often accompanies a child and that the camera shots of the evening you can see on the site of Noiseville .
Only now, however, place all the visual material that came out of that weekend. It is little. I was just happy hand, this weekend (thanks also to have a book of Goduria like burgundy velvet hands, delicious cuisine tasty - made in Cremonapalloza , on the other).
images starting from the train journey with Federica Orlati . Who is this friend of my sleeve, I tried to explain below. Add just that often accompanies a child and that the camera shots of the evening you can see on the site of Noiseville .
This guy is the light that emerges biblically Piero. Linfante is convinced that Jesus Years ago, others were convinced that Jesus Linfante same FOSE Mah .. Anyway, one thing is certain, however, is that Piero is poly-boom! The word poly-boom I have just slipped by fingers by chance, but I think that I came to mind because Piero wont explode in many different contexts. Nosed there behind him, for example. And below on the page I hope to have a decent enough picture, because I recognize the weapons also sound, for Mr. Sapio.
This, of course, is Linfante. 
These, however, are the sketches I did during the performance of Mr. Sapio. 
After the concert, and hands over the nth Linfante Federica, I tried again to the portrait doll by Linda Morla. For now it seems that there is no line, though: I am not happy.
I want to clarify that all 'sti earnest portraits are serious, but that night I remember it as one of those where I laughed more (EMH, not alone ... Not at all ...). Morla + + Federica Linfante are a great psychic explosive cocktail. I had no doubt! : D I would like also to thank again the Morlitos, who hosted me and Federica. :)
ritono close with the train, as a recluse, his head spinning somewhere.
I love what I do think the trains. I think I've already written a thousand times on this blog ...
Rock Your Soul!
(... And now with this post let's see if I can pass the fever to Frederick, that the days are longer than usual katafere doll!)
1920's Inspired Cocktail Dresses
MINA - AMOREUNICOAMORE - by CANDY (2010) The things that remain
Text
Soundtrack "The gang of Santa Claus"
Aldo, Giovanni e Giacomo, looking for a soundtrack that would enhance the most significant moments of the film, they could count on a 'the likes of Mina, their fans for years. The singer-Cremonese Ticino published on November 30 a CD, Small Strenna, whose four songs are just songs that accompany the play. Mele Kalikimaka (Merry Christmas in Hawaiian language), solar outdoor Hawaiian song by James opens the album, consisting of 4-style Christmas songs, and movies. The film also contains the song Little Green Bag George Baker Selection became famous as the soundtrack of the film Reservoir Dogs by Quentin Tarantino.Sources: wikipedia
Text
Where I have no words beginning
Where you start to feel good
Where I seem to fly and never come back
down Love in all of the senses, love my son Love
other times
Love from the heart that is moved
Love love love my
I do not know how long have I will try and
even know if I met you
Because it is difficult to understand when someone is in love
Endless love, free love So
liar and so true,
Love without a reason
hopeless father
not master of our lives in the hands
Love wind love of words in the wind
What are you waiting to shake
between My love in your arms
Where the sun does not exist Where anything can happen you
Where the street between good and evil is no different than
I had already lost and you'd
I've been cursed and I
dreamed I raised my fists to the sky But I've always forgiven
Love at any cost, love useless
But say it again that I believe without a
Love reason
hopeless father
not master of our lives in the hands
Love wind love of words in the wind
only one love Love Love
wind in the hands
love of words in the wind
What are you waiting to shake
between Your arms My love
Where you start to feel good
Where I seem to fly and never come back
down Love in all of the senses, love my son Love
other times
Love from the heart that is moved
Love love love my
I do not know how long have I will try and
even know if I met you
Because it is difficult to understand when someone is in love
Endless love, free love So
liar and so true,
Love without a reason
hopeless father
not master of our lives in the hands
Love wind love of words in the wind
What are you waiting to shake
between My love in your arms
Where the sun does not exist Where anything can happen you
Where the street between good and evil is no different than
I had already lost and you'd
I've been cursed and I
dreamed I raised my fists to the sky But I've always forgiven
Love at any cost, love useless
But say it again that I believe without a
Love reason
hopeless father
not master of our lives in the hands
Love wind love of words in the wind
only one love Love Love
wind in the hands
love of words in the wind
What are you waiting to shake
between Your arms My love
Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Cross Dressers Short Skirt
Retroactive facilitation?
Surely you noticed the furious debate arose around an article by Daryl Bem the suggestive title Feeling the future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect .
The author (who, incidentally, deals with "parapsychology" more as a hobby, as its main field of research, the psychology of sexual orientation) claims to provide evidence supporting it the possibility of precognition.
That way, it seems one of the many esoteric things aggirantisi the border between science and Jacob. But things are a bit 'more complex. First, because the author is not a charlatan by trade, but cha has a respectable history of science. Then for the newspaper, which with its impact factor of 5 + and a recognized authority, is not certainly the place where you think you can find quackery. And finally, perhaps most importantly, the idea behind the study.
One of the most common criticism of studies on psi (we use this term, which is common in the scientific, rather than the slightly derogatory term for "parapsychology") is to use statistical methods and experimental paradigms uncommon, or extremely complex with the consequence of being fairly reproducible. See about the history of the Ganzfeld experiments .
The strategy followed by Bem is exactly opposed. Bem has chosen nine classic paradigms of modern psychology, there was slightly modified (I explain after how) and analyzed them using standard techniques, offers a full range of applicants for the software used to perform the experiments.
Bem wants to study the phenomenon that is called "priming." That is how much influence they have on the choices of an individual signal preconscious (subliminal). The basic experiment (repeated a thousand times by psychologists of any kind) works like this: a person is faced with two options (usually in front of a computer, two windows, one right and one left) and must make a choice. Before you make the choice shows a picture for a very short time (that does not reach the consciousness of the subject) behind one of the windows. If the image is of a certain type (images erotic work very well), the probability that the subliminal image window is chosen is higher, and this thing can be detected statistically by repeating the experiment several times.
This experiment was changed by Bem in this way: the subliminal image was displayed after the subject had made the choice, but in fact the experiments he carried out are 9, but they are all more or less variants of this experiment classic. He found that in 8 out of 9 experiments, the image shown after he had a subliminal effect on the choice before easing to a level that would be considered statistically the most convincing scholars.
Some objections come immediately to mind:
1) Often these experiments are affected by the fact that the investigator interacts directly with the subject. To eliminate this problem, the experiment was designed such that the instructions were a computer.
2) Obviously, the number of subjects is important. Bem has used approximately 100 subjects per experiment, a fairly convincing.
3) It is also important as the choice of computer display of the window where the image is randomly subliminal. Bem has chosen to use as the random number generator CD Marsaglia. If I remember correctly, in an experiment has even used a random number generator true.
4) The problem of sub-groups: among other things, Bem shows that what he calls "psychological performance", ie the efficiency with which subjects guessed their prediction, correlates with certain personality traits commonly associated with capacity psi: an open mind, be outgoing, etc ... In some forums, Bem has been accused of forming subgroups of his sample to build its evidence. I do not think so: the results are independent of these subgroups. Only then, and additionally, he shows that this "psychological performance" correlates with other factors.
5) Some mathematical Dutch have polemicized with the type of statistical tests used by Bem, saying that it is necessary to use more refined tests. To prevent this objection, Bem has used statistical tests considered standard in the field of psychology. To the critics of Wagenmakers et al. is a bit 'double-edged sword, because, if correct, would invalidate more or less all the research in the social sciences (not only) made in the last 50 years. 
Surely you noticed the furious debate arose around an article by Daryl Bem the suggestive title Feeling the future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect .
The author (who, incidentally, deals with "parapsychology" more as a hobby, as its main field of research, the psychology of sexual orientation) claims to provide evidence supporting it the possibility of precognition.
That way, it seems one of the many esoteric things aggirantisi the border between science and Jacob. But things are a bit 'more complex. First, because the author is not a charlatan by trade, but cha has a respectable history of science. Then for the newspaper, which with its impact factor of 5 + and a recognized authority, is not certainly the place where you think you can find quackery. And finally, perhaps most importantly, the idea behind the study.
One of the most common criticism of studies on psi (we use this term, which is common in the scientific, rather than the slightly derogatory term for "parapsychology") is to use statistical methods and experimental paradigms uncommon, or extremely complex with the consequence of being fairly reproducible. See about the history of the Ganzfeld experiments .
The strategy followed by Bem is exactly opposed. Bem has chosen nine classic paradigms of modern psychology, there was slightly modified (I explain after how) and analyzed them using standard techniques, offers a full range of applicants for the software used to perform the experiments.
Bem wants to study the phenomenon that is called "priming." That is how much influence they have on the choices of an individual signal preconscious (subliminal). The basic experiment (repeated a thousand times by psychologists of any kind) works like this: a person is faced with two options (usually in front of a computer, two windows, one right and one left) and must make a choice. Before you make the choice shows a picture for a very short time (that does not reach the consciousness of the subject) behind one of the windows. If the image is of a certain type (images erotic work very well), the probability that the subliminal image window is chosen is higher, and this thing can be detected statistically by repeating the experiment several times.
This experiment was changed by Bem in this way: the subliminal image was displayed after the subject had made the choice, but in fact the experiments he carried out are 9, but they are all more or less variants of this experiment classic. He found that in 8 out of 9 experiments, the image shown after he had a subliminal effect on the choice before easing to a level that would be considered statistically the most convincing scholars.
Some objections come immediately to mind:
1) Often these experiments are affected by the fact that the investigator interacts directly with the subject. To eliminate this problem, the experiment was designed such that the instructions were a computer.
2) Obviously, the number of subjects is important. Bem has used approximately 100 subjects per experiment, a fairly convincing.
3) It is also important as the choice of computer display of the window where the image is randomly subliminal. Bem has chosen to use as the random number generator CD Marsaglia. If I remember correctly, in an experiment has even used a random number generator true.
4) The problem of sub-groups: among other things, Bem shows that what he calls "psychological performance", ie the efficiency with which subjects guessed their prediction, correlates with certain personality traits commonly associated with capacity psi: an open mind, be outgoing, etc ... In some forums, Bem has been accused of forming subgroups of his sample to build its evidence. I do not think so: the results are independent of these subgroups. Only then, and additionally, he shows that this "psychological performance" correlates with other factors.
5) Some mathematical Dutch have polemicized with the type of statistical tests used by Bem, saying that it is necessary to use more refined tests. To prevent this objection, Bem has used statistical tests considered standard in the field of psychology. To the critics of Wagenmakers et al. is a bit 'double-edged sword, because, if correct, would invalidate more or less all the research in the social sciences (not only) made in the last 50 years.
Monday, January 10, 2011
Sonogram Showed Enlarged Stomach
Casina
I love my little house.
It's really a cas ina - piccinapiccina! - But I love it.
photography forever.
I love its light, I love the trinkets of which we have disseminated those futile and those needed, even the most trivial.
The people who live it is odd.
I love that too.
And just to be in the mood just smelensa, I love even that sheet of Milan where he is, although I still do not know enough well ...
I can say to know him well only when I have consumed the sidewalk properly and strictly in mood serendipity random dérive. (Pleasure that I have already been issued, but not enough.
Each so, until June, the undersigned must get down with the lessons (the last year are now). In February, for another heavy session of exams: I officially declare offline, from ... NOW! (Of course, a lie is impossible, but, you know ... it's called "placebo "...) In total, the better to prefer the casinos to dérive for a while '... : - /
I love my little house. It's really a cas ina - piccinapiccina! - But I love it.
photography forever.
I love its light, I love the trinkets of which we have disseminated those futile and those needed, even the most trivial.
The people who live it is odd. I love that too.
And just to be in the mood just smelensa, I love even that sheet of Milan where he is, although I still do not know enough well ... 
I can say to know him well only when I have consumed the sidewalk properly and strictly in mood serendipity random dérive. (Pleasure that I have already been issued, but not enough. (Sometimes you have to take two hours to lie in a meadow, in the words of the wise old Scrubs ...) )
Each so, until June, the undersigned must get down with the lessons (the last year are now). In February, for another heavy session of exams: I officially declare offline, from ... NOW! (Of course, a lie is impossible, but, you know ... it's called "placebo "...) In total, the better to prefer the casinos to dérive for a while '... : - /
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